Magallanes vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
DCO
0 - 0
MAG
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAG
0 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DLS
1 - 1
MAG
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MAG
3 - 2
USF
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
PAL
4 - 1
MAG
78%
16%
7%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LOT
2 - 1
IBE
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
LOT
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
LOT
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LOT
1 - 0
CUR
31%
29%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
UCO
4 - 2
LOT
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | -1 |