Copa Chile Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Magallanes vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
HUA
0 - 1
MAG
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MAG
7 - 0
CDM
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
USF
1 - 4
MAG
23%
28%
50%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
COB
1 - 1
MAG
41%
25%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
0 - 0
COB
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
HUA
0 - 1
MAG
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HUA
0 - 1
COQ
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HUA
1 - 0
ANT
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
NUB
2 - 1
HUA
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HUA
1 - 0
NUB
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |