Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
OHI
1 - 2
MAG
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
HUA
1 - 1
MAG
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
MAG
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 2
MAG
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 1
LIG
16%
22%
62%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CSD
2 - 1
DSC
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
DSC
1 - 2
SWA
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
DSC
1 - 1
DEP
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
IQU
1 - 0
DSC
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
DSC
1 - 0
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |