Magallanes vs Recoleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
13º
3º
31
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 69 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
34.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
65.5% | 16.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 2
MAG
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MAG
3 - 0
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAG
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 0
CUR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DSC
3 - 1
MAG
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
DER
1 - 2
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DER
2 - 2
ANT
35%
26%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 0
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
DER
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
DER
5 - 0
UCO
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |