Magallanes vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
COQ
3 - 2
MAG
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
MAG
0 - 4
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
DCO
1 - 1
MAG
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
MAG
0 - 2
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
OHI
0 - 1
MAG
84%
11%
4%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
DLS
1 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
USF
2 - 0
DLS
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
DLS
1 - 2
COQ
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
DCO
1 - 1
DLS
18%
23%
60%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -3 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
DCO
2 - 0
DLS
11%
17%
72%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -2 |