Mafra vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAF
1 - 1
FEI
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
MAF
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAF
2 - 1
ELE
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 1
MAF
27%
26%
48%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MAF
3 - 1
UDL
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
SER
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
SER
26%
26%
49%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
FAT
1 - 1
SER
26%
25%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
PAM
0 - 2
SER
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |