Mafra vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SCF
1 - 0
MAF
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
MAF
0 - 0
FAM
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MAF
1 - 2
SPC
26%
28%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 2
MAF
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
MAF
0 - 0
SAN
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 2
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 0
ORI
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
ORI
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 3
FAR
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
GFC
1 - 0
ORI
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |