Mafra vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GDA
1 - 4
MAF
11%
24%
65%
|
55 | 20 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MAF
2 - 1
ALC
57%
24%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAF
27%
30%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MAF
3 - 0
GDR
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 3
MAF
16%
26%
59%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 1
PRA
12%
19%
69%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 0
GDA
81%
13%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 2
LUS
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
CAL
23%
25%
53%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +3 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GDR
1 - 3
LUS
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |