Mafra vs Estrela Vendas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
1DE
0 - 0
MAF
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LEX
3 - 2
MAF
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
SCP
4 - 3
MAF
94%
5%
1%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MAF
1 - 1
UNM
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
VIE
0 - 1
MAF
19%
22%
58%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
EVN
1 - 0
CAL
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
RIO
4 - 1
EVN
80%
15%
6%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
PAR
3 - 1
EVN
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |