Mafra vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
MAF
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SER
0 - 1
MAF
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 1
FAT
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ORI
1 - 2
MAF
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
1DE
2 - 3
MAF
27%
27%
47%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
1DE
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
QUA
1 - 2
CAS
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
CAS
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 0
OEI
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |