Mafra vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MAF
0 - 1
BMA
30%
24%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAF
1 - 0
FAT
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 1
MAF
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 1
TOR
60%
22%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MAF
3 - 0
ORI
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 10 | 44 | +1 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALC
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
TOR
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
LOU
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 1
ATL
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |