Mafra vs Atlético Ouriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
FAT
0 - 5
MAF
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MAF
1 - 0
TOR
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
MAF
43%
28%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAF
1 - 1
ALC
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ELE
1 - 1
MAF
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Ouriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
ATL
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 0
ATL
69%
20%
11%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
UDL
17%
22%
62%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
FAT
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |