Mafra vs 1º Dezembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAF
1 - 0
ORI
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 0
MAF
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAF
0 - 0
TOR
38%
26%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SER
0 - 2
MAF
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MAF
4 - 1
CAR
58%
24%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 2
1DE
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
1DE
1 - 1
EVN
41%
26%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 0
1DE
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ORI
2 - 0
1DE
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
1DE
3 - 0
TOU
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |