Mafra U23 vs Sporting CP U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
13º
16º
14º
8
3º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
7 | 27 |
1º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 27 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 25 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 24 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 23 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 23 |
6º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 23 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 21 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 21 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 20 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 18 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 15 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 14 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 11 |
16º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3.5% | 47% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 36.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
EST
4 - 0
MAF
75%
16%
10%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FAR
3 - 2
MAF
64%
19%
18%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 2
POR
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
MAF
2 - 3
BRA
31%
27%
42%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
LEX
1 - 3
MAF
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting CP U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
FAR
66%
19%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
TOR
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
SPO
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 1
GIL
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
BES
1 - 1
SPO
28%
25%
48%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |