Mafra U23 vs Sporting CP U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
43.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
8º
8º
29
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
31 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
MAF
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 2
GIL
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
LEX
1 - 0
MAF
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 3
LEX
36%
23%
42%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
FAR
0 - 2
MAF
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
GIL
1 - 2
SPO
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 1
FAR
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
SPO
44%
24%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 2
POR
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LEX
1 - 1
SPO
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |