Mafra U23 vs Leixões U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
35%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
8º
7º
8
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
4 - 2
MAF
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MAF
0 - 1
ACV
49%
22%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
MAF
50%
22%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 2
SAN
49%
21%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
BES
2 - 0
MAF
74%
14%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Leixões U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
3 - 1
LEX
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
LEX
1 - 1
RIO
43%
25%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
ACV
2 - 2
LEX
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
2 - 0
LEX
73%
16%
12%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
LEX
2 - 0
TOR
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |