Mafra U23 vs Farense U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
41.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
13º
16º
14º
8
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
7 | 27 |
1º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 27 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 25 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 24 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 23 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 23 |
6º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 23 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
|
3º
|
8 | 21 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 21 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 20 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 18 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 15 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 14 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 11 |
16º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3.5% | 17% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
MAF
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 0
SPO
21%
24%
56%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +5 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
EST
4 - 0
MAF
75%
16%
10%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FAR
3 - 2
MAF
64%
19%
18%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 2
POR
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Farense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
FAR
42%
26%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
FAR
46%
22%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
FAR
66%
19%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
FAR
75%
17%
9%
|
37 | 72 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FAR
3 - 2
MAF
64%
19%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |