Mafra U23 vs Benfica U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
7º
14º
14º
19
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 2
MAF
75%
14%
11%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 1
EST
20%
23%
57%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MAF
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
MAF
79%
13%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 2
FAR
29%
23%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BES
5 - 0
FAR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 1
BES
5%
10%
85%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 5
BES
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
BES
2 - 2
SPO
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
BES
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |