Madureira Sub 20 vs Portuguesa Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
56.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SUZ
1 - 2
MAD
31%
21%
48%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
GOI
1 - 2
MAD
75%
15%
10%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
GOI
10%
15%
75%
|
8 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
SUZ
0 - 5
POR
41%
22%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |