Madureira U20 vs Bahia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
69.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CAP
1 - 0
MAD
36%
22%
42%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 0
MAD
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 3
POR
21%
23%
57%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SUZ
1 - 2
MAD
31%
21%
48%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
GOI
1 - 2
MAD
75%
15%
10%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
BAH
2 - 0
SER
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 8 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
BAH
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 2
GRE
29%
24%
48%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 0
ATL
24%
22%
53%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 2
BAH
52%
23%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |