Madureira RJ vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
MAD
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 1
CAX
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAD
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TUP
2 - 1
MAD
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 2
DUQ
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAX
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
TUP
1 - 1
VIL
39%
27%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 1
VIL
45%
25%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAN
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |