Madureira RJ vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
73.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 2
FLU
6%
15%
79%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
MAD
0 - 1
BOA
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
MAD
47%
26%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 2
MAC
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
MAD
1 - 3
SAO
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
SAO
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 2
SAO
15%
23%
62%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
NOV
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
11%
22%
67%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
ECS
0 - 0
SAO
8%
18%
74%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |