Madureira RJ vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAD
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
TUP
3 - 0
MAD
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
MAD
4 - 3
BOT
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
CEN
4 - 2
MAD
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
MAD
1 - 1
CEN
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAD
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
RIO
4 - 1
CFC
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
USC
6 - 1
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
RIO
4 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
AME
3 - 2
RIO
47%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |