Rio Cup Last 16
Global 0-3
Madureira RJ vs Paduano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 0
MAD
20%
22%
59%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 0
MAD
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 3
AUD
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
BOA
1 - 2
MAD
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
MAD
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Paduano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 0
MAD
20%
22%
59%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
AME
0 - 3
PAD
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 0
AME
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 1
ADC
46%
22%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ADC
1 - 3
PAD
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |