Madureira RJ vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAD
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
5 - 1
MAD
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 1
MAC
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 0
MAD
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
OES
1 - 0
TUP
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
OES
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
OES
1 - 0
DUQ
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
OES
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
OES
2 - 1
BRA
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |