Madureira RJ vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
FLA
12%
20%
68%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 3
MAD
24%
27%
49%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
MAD
3 - 0
RES
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 0
BOA
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
VAS
2 - 0
MAD
80%
15%
5%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 3
BAN
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 2
VOL
30%
27%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
NOV
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 4
FLU
9%
19%
72%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | 0 |