Madureira RJ vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RES
2 - 1
MAD
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAD
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OLA
2 - 1
MAD
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 2
BOT
14%
22%
63%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BON
3 - 1
MAD
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 0
NOV
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 3
RES
40%
25%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 0
MAC
27%
24%
50%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
BON
0 - 0
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |