Madureira RJ vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 1
MAD
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 2
MAD
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MAD
1 - 1
MAC
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MAD
0 - 1
IFC
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
MAD
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 2
MAD
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
IFC
4 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 2
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
MAR
37%
23%
40%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |