Madureira RJ vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 1
MAD
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
MAD
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
MAD
3 - 4
JUV
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
TUP
3 - 3
MAD
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 2
POR
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
TOM
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
LON
0 - 0
GUA
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAX
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 3
POR
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |