Madureira RJ vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 0
VAS
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FRI
2 - 2
MAD
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 1
MAD
30%
26%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 0
MAD
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
MAD
0 - 1
VOL
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 3
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
CON
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PAL
4 - 1
GUA
70%
20%
11%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
GUA
17%
22%
61%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |