Madureira RJ vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 0
MAD
81%
14%
5%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VOL
1 - 0
MAD
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 1
CAB
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 3
MAD
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 0
AUD
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FRI
3 - 0
AUD
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 1
FRI
86%
11%
3%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 2
FRI
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
VOL
1 - 1
FRI
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |