Madureira RJ vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
63%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 1
MAD
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 0
MAC
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
BON
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VOL
0 - 3
MAD
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 3
MAD
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
3 - 0
FLU
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FLU
4 - 2
BAR
88%
9%
2%
|
83 | 43 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
FLU
3 - 0
CAB
87%
10%
3%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FLU
1 - 1
TIG
89%
9%
2%
|
83 | 41 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
FLU
14%
22%
64%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |