Madureira RJ vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 0
SAO
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAD
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
CER
2 - 2
MAD
21%
25%
53%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
DUQ
0 - 0
MAD
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
MAD
3 - 1
AME
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CAX
3 - 0
CRA
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 1
CAX
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAX
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CAX
1 - 2
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 0
CAX
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -2 |