Madureira RJ vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAD
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TUP
2 - 1
MAD
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 2
DUQ
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
MAD
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 1
OES
39%
27%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 0
TUP
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 0
CAX
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAX
3 - 2
OES
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
4 - 1
CAX
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 1
DUQ
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |