Madureira RJ vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
MAD
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 1
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 0
MAD
47%
27%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MAD
0 - 0
LIN
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BAN
0 - 3
MAD
53%
26%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 0
LIN
27%
28%
45%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAL
62%
23%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 0
MAD
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
CAL
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 1
UBE
32%
27%
42%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |