Madureira RJ vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
68.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 2
MAD
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
MAD
2 - 1
FRI
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
RES
1 - 2
MAD
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
TIG
2 - 1
MAD
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MAD
2 - 1
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
AME
84%
11%
4%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
TIG
1 - 2
BOT
10%
17%
73%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BOT
0 - 6
VAS
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 0
FRI
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 3
BOT
11%
18%
72%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |