Madura United vs Persela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madura United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
MFC
1 - 4
MAD
7%
14%
79%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
MAD
30%
28%
43%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 2
PSI
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
MED
3 - 3
MAD
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 2
BSU
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Persela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
PER
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
PUS
3 - 2
PER
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
PER
3 - 0
PER
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
PER
4 - 0
ARE
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
MIT
1 - 1
PER
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |