Madura United vs Dewa United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
18º
17º
40
2º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 64 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 57 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 56 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 50 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 49 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 47 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 44 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 40 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
17 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 29 |
18º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 77% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
77.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madura United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MAD
0 - 0
PSB
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MAD
2 - 0
PRS
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
PER
1 - 1
MAD
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MAD
2 - 4
BAR
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
PDS
0 - 1
MAD
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Dewa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
DEW
2 - 1
PER
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
PSI
1 - 4
DEW
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
DEW
3 - 2
PSM
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
PER
0 - 2
DEW
45%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
DEW
2 - 0
ARE
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |