Madura United vs Arema FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madura United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
MAD
1 - 3
PER
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
PER
3 - 0
MAD
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PUS
2 - 3
MAD
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
MAD
1 - 0
PUS
57%
23%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 0
ARE
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 0
ARE
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
ARE
3 - 2
PSM
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 2
ARE
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
PSS
4 - 1
ARE
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
ARE
0 - 1
PER
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |