Madura United vs Arema FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madura United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PER
2 - 1
MAD
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
PER
4 - 2
MAD
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 3
PER
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
MAD
4 - 1
PSP
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 2
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ARE
1 - 1
AYU
80%
14%
7%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ARE
1 - 1
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ARE
2 - 0
PSP
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MIT
2 - 2
ARE
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
PER
2 - 0
ARE
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |