Madura United vs Arema FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madura United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MAD
0 - 0
PER
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
SRI
3 - 1
MAD
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
MAD
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
MAD
1 - 1
PER
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
MAD
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
PER
0 - 0
ARE
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
ARE
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
BON
1 - 2
ARE
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
ARE
0 - 0
PSP
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ARE
1 - 0
PER
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |