Madrepietra Daunia vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
54.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madrepietra Daunia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AVH
2 - 1
MDC
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MDC
0 - 1
SSE
33%
22%
44%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
RPO
3 - 5
MDC
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MDC
2 - 3
SSM
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 2
MDC
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
PIC
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 1
FRA
38%
27%
36%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 2
BIS
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 0
FRA
18%
24%
58%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 1
POL
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |