Madre de Deus vs Ipitanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madre de Deus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
IPI
3 - 3
MDE
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
MDE
2 - 0
COL
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 0
MDE
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MDE
1 - 2
FEI
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
FLU
4 - 1
MDE
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ipitanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
IPI
3 - 3
MDE
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
IPI
4 - 1
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
COL
2 - 0
IPI
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
IPI
1 - 2
VIT
32%
24%
45%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
COL
1 - 1
IPI
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |