Mäder vs Nenzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mäder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MAD
5 - 0
ROT
37%
24%
39%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
EGG
4 - 4
MAD
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
MEI
1 - 4
MAD
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
MAD
0 - 0
FCK
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
ROT
4 - 0
MAD
42%
23%
34%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nenzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
NEN
3 - 2
BLA
17%
20%
63%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ROT
3 - 2
NEN
65%
20%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
NEN
1 - 1
AND
33%
26%
42%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
WOL
4 - 1
NEN
67%
19%
14%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
NEN
0 - 6
LAU
41%
25%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |