Madalena vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
NAL
2 - 1
MAD
51%
22%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MAD
2 - 3
BER
39%
24%
37%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
AST
1 - 0
MAD
68%
19%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAD
2 - 2
ENA
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VCD
1 - 1
MAD
64%
21%
15%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 1
SIE
50%
24%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 1
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 0
RIB
62%
20%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
UCO
46%
24%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NAL
2 - 1
UCO
36%
24%
39%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |