Madalena vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AST
2 - 0
MAD
63%
20%
16%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MAD
2 - 2
TUR
61%
20%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AST
1 - 1
MAD
67%
19%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MAD
0 - 0
AVI
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 0
MAD
66%
20%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 2
NAL
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 1
UCO
33%
25%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 0
AST
38%
25%
37%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
AVI
2 - 0
UCO
61%
23%
17%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
UCO
2 - 1
ATL
33%
25%
43%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |