Madalena FC vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madalena FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 1
OPE
21%
23%
57%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
MAD
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 60 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 3
COI
32%
25%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GON
2 - 1
MAD
72%
19%
9%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 0
MAD
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 2
ANG
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
4 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 1
ANA
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
PAR
79%
15%
6%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |