Madalena FC vs Estrela Vendas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
47.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madalena FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 0
MAD
47%
24%
30%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FCB
3 - 0
MAD
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CED
3 - 1
MAD
11%
17%
72%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | +7 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 1
FAY
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 2
LAJ
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EVN
0 - 4
EST
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SIN
3 - 0
EVN
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
EVN
0 - 1
LOU
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EVN
0 - 2
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
REA
4 - 1
EVN
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |