Madagascar vs Esuatini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 0
TAN
25%
25%
51%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 2
MAD
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
UGA
1 - 0
MAD
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 1
UGA
15%
23%
62%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CPV
3 - 1
MAD
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Esuatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2015 |
LSO
0 - 2
SWZ
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
TAN
0 - 1
SWZ
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
SWZ
1 - 3
RSA
9%
20%
71%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
BFA
5 - 1
SWZ
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SWZ
1 - 1
TAN
20%
25%
56%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |