CHAN Qualifying Primera Ronda Final
Global 4-0
Madagascar vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SYC
0 - 1
MAD
8%
17%
75%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 2
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
MAD
0 - 2
NAM
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 1
ANG
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
GHA
3 - 0
MAD
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SYC
0 - 1
MAD
8%
17%
75%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SYC
1 - 2
COM
17%
23%
60%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
ANG
3 - 0
SYC
83%
14%
4%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
SYC
0 - 1
BOT
12%
24%
64%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
LSO
3 - 1
SYC
68%
21%
11%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |